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Polymarket Launches Bitcoin and Ethereum Volatility Prediction Markets

BlockBeats News, January 27th, Polymarket has launched a new prediction market on its platform tied to the 30-day implied volatility index of Bitcoin and Ethereum, allowing users to forecast the volatility levels in 2026. The two markets are "What will be the Bitcoin Volatility Index in 2026?" and "What will be the Ethereum Volatility Index in 2026?", with the markets settling on December 31, 2026.


Early trading data indicates that the market anticipates around a 35% probability for the Bitcoin 30-day implied volatility index to double from the current 40% to 80%, and a similar probability for the Ethereum volatility index to rise from 50% to 90%.

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