Within the last day, 4 accounts have placed bets on the US striking Iran before the 16th.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, in the past 24 hours, 4 accounts have bet on the U.S. striking Iran before the 16th, with 1 being a new account and the other 3 only having traded on Iran-related markets. The current probability for this market is 23%.

In the past 48 hours, the U.S., France, and other countries have announced the evacuation of their diplomatic missions in Iran or urged their citizens to leave immediately; Trump stated on Truth Social that if Iran shoots peaceful protesters, the U.S. will come to their rescue and urged the protesters to continue, saying help is on the way.

Multiple markets related to a U.S. strike on Iran have seen varying degrees of increase in the past 48 hours, with the probability of a strike before January 31st reaching a high of 76% earlier today, now at 62%, a more than 350% increase since this channel's initial report on January 5th.

Accounts:
0xe65a4ca7f2de70f5f17bf01e084670d64e6dce48
0x87ca1e498a111b19331d8d7c5a938f9918023448
0x1005e8df5428fd66e11586c420574584f0066f5b
0xd303c7f51a14920fa19ae04d0e60bd76b5c2a125

Total Open Interest: $28.4k
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