BlockBeats News, December 10th, Bitfinex released a new report stating that after the recent weakness in U.S. labor data, the market expects the Fed to announce a rate cut today (December 10th).
The current quit rate has dropped to about 1.8%, the lowest level since 2020, while the layoff rate is close to a three-year high. This indicates that wage pressure is easing, providing a basis for a rate cut, which is a key driving factor for Bitcoin ($BTC) and other risk assets. Consumers are increasingly reliant on credit.
Currently, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-on-year increase is hovering between 2.5% and 2.7%, still above the 2% policy target. At the same time, U.S. credit card debt has surpassed $1.2 trillion, with an average interest rate of over 20%. Household finances are tightening, making the macro environment faced by risk assets more fragile.
For traders, the combination of weak labor data and rising credit usage suggests a cautious strategy should be adopted. A rate cut may provide support for asset prices, but the sluggish growth and consumers being stretched thin could still amplify the intensity of market shocks.
