Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's infidelity scandal escalates, with a prediction market account holding a 95% win rate forecasting the possibility of his resignation.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on November 8, Nvidia's board of directors announced that it would launch an independent investigation following recent reports that Jensen Huang became the target of foreign intelligence activities. On the same day, Jensen Huang admitted in a letter to employees that he was unfaithful to his wife, said he takes full responsibility, and supported the board's investigation.

On the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of "Jensen Huang resigns or is removed as Nvidia CEO within the year" is 15.5%.

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On the same day, Trump told CNN that he had not spoken with Jensen Huang since Nvidia announced the investigation, and called Jensen Huang "a nice guy" who "probably has an explanation for it." This is not an announcement of departure by Nvidia or Jensen Huang himself.

This market settles on the question of whether news that Jensen Huang resigns or is removed from the position of Nvidia CEO will be officially announced before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Resignation includes retirement, stepping down, and moving to another position within the company. Removal includes dismissal by the board or termination of his position. The announcement only needs to take effect within 18 months and does not require actual departure before the end of the year.