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Analysis: After the midterm elections, the Federal Reserve will focus on controlling inflation; if the Iran conflict ends, there will be no need for further interest rate hikes.

BlockBeats news, November 5 — Some Federal Reserve watchers judge that Trump encountered strong voter backlash in the midterm elections, which may ease the political pressure facing Fed Chair Warsh, allowing him to reduce political interference and focus on controlling inflation. Voters listed the cost of living as one of their top concerns, which has completely changed the political landscape surrounding the Federal Reserve. Since Trump was re-elected in 2024, he has continuously pressured the Fed and its interest rate decisions, repeatedly demanding rate cuts, supporting an unprecedented criminal investigation into the renovation of the Fed building, and attempting to remove a sitting Fed governor. Against this backdrop, Trump chose Warsh in May this year to lead the Fed, and Warsh had previously made an unusual pivot to supporting rate cuts, triggering concerns among Democrats that the new chair may have agreed to adjust monetary policy according to the president's wishes.


Claudia Sahm, chief economist at New Century Advisors, said that in fact, if the election results prompt Trump to end the Iran conflict and abandon further tariff increases, the Fed may not need to raise rates again at all.

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