Accounts with doubled profits from price predictions make judgments on this month's BTC bottoming range.

According to monitoring by PolyBeats, on the prediction market Polymarket, the "No" probability for "BTC to drop below $75k this month?" is 22.5%. According to Binance market data, BTC fell about 7.2% in October alone, the worst October performance in 12 years; as of November 3, BTC was trading around $76,943, just 2.5% away from $75,000.

10Alexander321 bought $7.9k of "No" on "BTC to drop below $75k this month?" and bought $896 of "No" on "SOL to drop below $90 this month?". This account has a 70% win rate across 10 trades in the monthly section, with PnL +$35.9k and ROI +118.4%. The amount invested in this trade was 2.6 times its average investment in this section.

On the funding side, according to SoSoValue data, U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of $643.3M on October 30, the largest single-day outflow since June 25, erasing 63.6% of 2026 net inflows, with IBIT outflowing $233.7M, FBTC outflowing $201.4M, and ARKB outflowing $129.5M.

On the technical side, according to FXStreet analysis, $76.3k is the intersection of the 200-day exponential moving average and the 38.2% retracement level, and is also where BTC's October 30 low was located; above, the 50-day exponential moving average at $80.3k forms resistance. QCP Capital previously viewed $80k to $82k as a buying zone.

Most traders on X believe $75k will not hold. Trader MasterCryptoHq, who has 159,000 followers, said: "BTC's price action is completely in line with expectations. My next target is first $70k to $72k, $70k to $75k is the accumulation zone, the next wave is $80k to $84k, and after that above $98k." Trader 0xklarck said on November 2 at 06:20: "BTC is brewing a violent drop... $77k, rejected at $79k, below $75k, then $71k."