France protests intensify, will the government declare a state of emergency? Four high-win-rate smart money sources share the same view.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on October 17, nationwide protests erupted across multiple locations in France over the cost of living and public services. On October 18, Bruno Retailleau, chairman of the right-wing Republican Party and presidential candidate, publicly called for a state of emergency to be declared. One of the co-organizers of the march, the "Yellow Vests Coordination," posted a long article on its official website on October 19 calling for a "second act" to begin on the 24th.

Today, the prediction market Polymarket launched the event "Will France declare a state of emergency in October?" with the "Yes" probability currently at 14%. The positions and trading profiles of 4 standout accounts (91% win rate in the European section, 75% in politics, 100% in France, and 1137% profit from predicting curfews) in this market are as follows: