Gemini 4 Argon has a 64% probability of being released to the public this week, with a new account prediction model to be announced on Wednesday.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon on September 30, but on that day it was only opened to trusted cybersecurity testers in the Fairwind program. As of publication, Google has not yet given a specific public release date for Gemini 4 Argon.

On the prediction market Polymarket, a new account ilovehistamines registered within the past 24 hours and concentrated buying across multiple Gemini 4-related markets, with a total investment of $6,200. Among them, the largest investment was $3,850 predicting that Gemini 4.0 would be released before the end of October 14, and the probability is currently 50.5%.

On September 5, the X account lyraxana once said that Google, after a long gap, had released the first internal checkpoint of the upcoming Pro model, and he expected this Pro to be made public in October. On October 8, the same account posted "Happy Gemini 4 Argon day to everyone!" and on October 12 apologized in a reply: "my bad. I forgot we're dealing with Google and its endless delays," intending to explain that his prediction had not been fulfilled as stated.