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Trump, Putin may meet again in Shenzhen within the year.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, the APEC Leaders' Meeting will be held in Shenzhen from November 18 to 19. In early September, Kremlin foreign policy advisor Ushakov said that Putin, Trump, and Xi Jinping might hold a trilateral meeting during APEC; the Russian side had previously also said it did not rule out this possibility.

In prediction markets, the current probability of "Trump and Putin's next meeting will be held in China" is 68%.

Chims bought $2.36k "Yes" at a purchase probability of 58.89%. Trading at 90%+ as a late-stage trade, their open trades in the politics sector total 186, with a win rate of 73%, PnL +$12.9k, and this investment is 68.21 times their median investment.
nonkenny90 bought $1.47k "Yes" at a purchase probability of 54.87%. Trading at 90%+ as a late-stage trade, their open trades in the geopolitics sector total 277, with a win rate of 79%, PnL +$202.4k, and this investment is 1.03 times their median investment.

On September 22, The Straits Times, citing sources, reported that Putin plans to attend APEC in Shenzhen in person, which would be his first in-person attendance at an APEC Leaders' Meeting since 2017. The report also noted that whether a meeting between Putin and Trump can be arranged depends on whether Trump also attends.

As of now, the White House has still not confirmed Trump's travel arrangements to Shenzhen.

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