A Look at the Smart Money Data of 10 Players in the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Sector

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the two markets on Polymarket, "Whether the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged" and "Whether the Fed will raise rates by 25 points," there are a total of 56 accounts with investments greater than $100k. Among them, there are a total of 14 new accounts.

Among the 42 accounts with past transactions, if only their past positions in the Fed interest rate sector, with a buy price less than 90%, and held to settlement are counted, under this filtering condition, there are a total of 10 accounts with PnL greater than $10k.

There are a total of 4 accounts that believe rates will remain unchanged/will not raise rates:
0xbe189fc6c8298e832b bought $382.29k "rates unchanged," under this filtering condition a total of 1 trade, win rate 100%, PnL +$20.8k, this investment is 4.55 times their median investment.
TwoEyes bought $163.8k "rates unchanged." Under this filtering condition a total of 13 trades, win rate 85%, PnL +$206.3k, this investment is 2.16 times their median investment.
monkeyking42 bought $250.48k "will not raise rates." Under this filtering condition a total of 1 trade, win rate 100%, PnL +$71.5k, this investment is 1.26 times their median investment.
novv25 bought $138.49k "will not raise rates." Under this filtering condition a total of 3 trades, win rate 33%, PnL +$14.5k, this investment is 692.70 times their median investment.

There are a total of 6 accounts that believe rates will change/will raise rates:
WordleAddict bought $160.14k "rates change." Under this filtering condition a total of 13 trades, win rate 31%, PnL +$33.0k, this investment is 30.84 times their median investment.
CentralCasting bought $112.37k "rates change." Under this filtering condition a total of 2 trades, win rate 100%, PnL +$358.5k, this investment is 0.19 times their median investment.
Vilgefortz bought $247.64k. Under this filtering condition a total of 6 trades, win rate 83%, PnL +$148.1k, this investment is 2.08 times their median investment.
ArmageddonRewardsBil bought $567.47k "will raise rates." Under this filtering condition a total of 72 trades, win rate 18%, PnL +$48.6k, this investment is 316.33 times their median investment.
yuahldj bought $393.3k "will raise rates." Under this filtering condition a total of 1 trade, win rate 100%, PnL +$170.2k, this investment is 1.66 times their median investment.
pako bought $122.24k "will raise rates." Under this filtering condition a total of 29 trades, win rate 62%, PnL +$512.0k, this investment is 103.90 times their median investment.