According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, a savvy investor has put in $3.1k on the question "Will Anthropic release their next Mythos model before the end of September 9th?" with an average buy-in probability of 73.0%. The current probability for "Yes" stands at 74.5%.
Another user, bimbumbap22, has invested $3.1k in this market, with the primary associated category being Technology, generating a net profit of $9.8k. Out of 23 settled transactions in this category, the user has a win rate of 16/23 (70%), with 12 transactions where the buy price was below $0.8 and the sell price was above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.651-$0.7), the median of historical investment amounts for this user is $2.0k.
Anthropic's risk report released on August 14th revealed that the company is internally using a system called Model 2. This model has outperformed Mythos 5 in various research, programming, and data generation tasks. Anthropic stated that there are currently no plans to release this model to the public, and the relevant systems have not undergone all evaluations typically required for public deployment.
On the 27th, Anthropic announced an expansion of support for life science institutions, allowing initial participants to utilize Mythos-level models for drug development and scientific experiments in a controlled environment. The company also unveiled a preview of the Model Hardware Standard research, enabling the Claude AI to connect with microscopes, robotic arms, and laboratory equipment. These initiatives are currently undergoing testing with partner organizations.
Recently, Dylan Patel, the founder of SemiAnalysis, mentioned that he heard Mythos 2 has completed training, and Anthropic has not publicly disclosed plans for this model. Anthropic has not confirmed the name Mythos 2 and has not indicated whether the internal Model 2 will evolve into a new Fable or Mythos product.
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