The probability of the total cryptocurrency market cap reaching $4 trillion this year is 7%, and it has now recovered to $2.79 trillion.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the current probability that the "total cryptocurrency market capitalization will reach $40 trillion by 2026" is 8.0%.

The global cryptocurrency market cap is currently around $2.79 trillion, up 3.91% in the past 24 hours, but down 32.41% from a year ago. The market cap of Bitcoin is about $1.62 trillion, representing 58.04% of the total market cap, while the stablecoin market cap is around $305 billion, accounting for approximately 10.91%.

The total net inflows into U.S. Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs last week amounted to approximately $26 billion, reaching the highest level since October 2025. Bitcoin ETFs attracted about $19 billion in net inflows, Ethereum ETFs received around $697.2 million in net inflows, with the weekly trading volume of the two ETF categories exceeding $29 billion.

On the 20th, Trump once again urged Congress to pass the "CLARITY Act," driving up Bitcoin, Ethereum, and several other crypto-related stocks. The act aims to divide the regulatory authority between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is currently under Senate review. Inflows into spot ETF funds, continued weakening of the U.S. dollar, and regulatory legislation progress will impact the future growth rate of the cryptocurrency market cap.
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