The 2026 Ballon d'Or Award Season Enters Spotlight with New Accounts Predicting Harry Kane to Win
According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a new account has wagered $6.9k on "Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", with an average buy probability of 60.6%. Currently, the probability of "Yes" is at 62.2%.
The 2026 Ballon d'Or awards ceremony is set to take place in London on October 26. The selection process covers the 2025–26 season's club and national team events, with World Cup performance factored in as well.
On July 20, former West Germany captain and German legend Lothar Matthaus stated in a Sky Germany column that he believes Paris Saint-Germain forward Ousmane Dembele has the edge, while also including Bayern Munich's Harry Kane and Michael Olise in the discussion.
In the 2025–26 season, Kane appeared in 51 matches across all competitions for Bayern Munich, scoring 61 goals and providing 7 assists, helping the team secure the Bundesliga, DFB-Pokal, and DFL-Supercup. He claimed the European Golden Shoe with 36 Bundesliga goals, and Bayern also reached the Champions League semi-finals, while England secured third place in the World Cup.
Another key contender, Rodrigo, led Spain as captain to victory in the 2026 World Cup and received the Ballon d'Or for the tournament. On August 17, he arrived in Barcelona and will subsequently undergo medical examinations, sign the contract, and complete related transfer procedures.
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