Even Faker Can't Handle It? Prediction Market Account with 82% Win Rate on League of Legends Bets on KeSPA Cup Postseason DN SOOPers Defeating T1

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the Polymarket prediction market, 1 hour ago, a Wise Money placed a $6,500 bet on "DN SOOPers" in the "League of Legends: T1 vs. DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs" matchup, with an average buy-in probability of 61.0%. Currently, the probability for "DN SOOPers" is 60.5%.

0x8d83598759 placed a $6,500 bet, with the best-related category being League of Legends, generating a net profit of $5,100. Within this category, out of 266 settled transactions, the win rate is 219/266 (82%), with 121 transactions where the buy price was below $0.8 and the sell price was above $0.95. In the similar cost range ($0.551-$0.7), the median historical investment amount is $6,300.

This match is the KeSPA Cup Playoffs semifinals, BO5, scheduled to start on August 17 at 17:00 Beijing time. It's noteworthy that the account's few League of Legends category loss transactions bear the brunt of the account's main profit drawdown.

The logic behind DN SOOPers' bet is mainly based on their recent performance. The GOL schedule shows that on August 10, DN SOOPers defeated DRX 2-1, Gen.G 2-0, and on August 11, they eliminated Korean life 3-0 in the quarterfinals. Recent match records from RFT also demonstrate that DN SOOPers have consecutively defeated Gen.G, Korean life, Nongshim RedForce, and FEARX in the past week, indicating a significantly stronger short-term form.

The reverse logic for T1 focuses on their lineup and previous encounters. RFT indicates that T1's lineup for this match includes Doran, Oner, Faker, Pezy, and Keria, displaying a stronger reputation and BO5 experience. When the two teams faced off on July 27 in the KeSPA Cup group stage, T1 previously defeated DN SOOPers 1-0, and in the April and May LCK matches this year, T1 also won 2-0 each time. The RFT community poll currently also leans towards T1, with a support rate of around 67%.
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