Old Account Predicts No Fed Hike This Year After Six-Month Silence, Previously Profited $100,000 by Predicting Timing of US-Iran War

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, an account has placed a $34.8k bet on "Will the Fed raise interest rates in 2026?" choosing "No," with an average buying probability of 50.9%. The current probability of "Yes" is 52.5%.

Account 0xd87a4012 has also contributed $34.8k. With 3 settled trades, the total profit is $100k. This trade represents 11.9 times the median of its historical trades.

This account registered before the US-Iran conflict and accurately predicted a US strike on Iran, resulting in a net gain of $100.1k. This channel previously reported on February 9 that this account, after registration, predicted the impending US strike on Iran.

The account has now become the third-largest holder of "No" in the "Will the Fed raise interest rates this year" market.

Account:
0xd87a4012b40aad76a870fed7d1976e9224dfd3b8

Total Investment: $34.8k
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