Asia is the first to be eliminated, with European countries having a 64% chance of winning the World Cup.

According to Predict.fun monitoring, on the Polymarket prediction market, the current probability of "Will the 2026 World Cup champion be from Europe?" is 64%.

Currently, the probability by continent is approximately: Europe 63.5%, South America 27.5%, North America 4.5%, Africa 3.6%, Oceania 0.2%. The Asia option has been settled as "no," becoming the first option to be eliminated in this continent champion market.

The core support for the Europe probability comes from the top-ranked teams in the champion market: France around 35.1%, Spain around 10.0%, England around 8.3%, Portugal around 6.2%, along with Norway, Belgium, Switzerland, and other lower-ranked probabilities, which collectively add up to nearly 64% in the Europe continent market.

South America is mainly supported by Argentina, Brazil, and Colombia; North America, Africa, and Oceania will require a stronger path of consecutive upsets.
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