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1 Smart Money Buys the Rumor of 'GTA 6 Delay Once Again'

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a Smart Money has placed an $8,200 bet on "Will 'GTA 6' be delayed again?", with an average buying probability of 80.6%, while the current probability for "Yes" is 16.0%.

Address 0xad96914d has bet $8,200, with the best-performing category in this market being Culture, with a net profit of $2,800. Out of 7 settled trades in this category, the win rate is 6/7 (86%), with 0 trades meeting the criteria of buying below $0.8 and selling above $0.95.

Rockstar has set the current release date for "GTA 6" as November 19, 2026, on the PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S platforms. Around the June 25 pre-order window, The Verge reported that the Standard Edition is priced at $79.99, the Ultimate Edition at $99.99, and even the physical version will only contain a download code, with shipping starting on November 12 to allow players to preload before the official release on November 19.

Actions such as pre-order openings, price reveals, edition differentiations, preload/shipping date confirmations, etc., typically signify the transition of the release process from "marketing hype" to "business execution." If the company is still highly uncertain about meeting the release deadline, they usually do not reveal pricing, edition benefits, preload milestones, and retail channel arrangements all at once.

On the other hand, "GTA 6" has indeed faced multiple delays before. The game was initially slated for a Fall 2025 window, then postponed to May 2026, and Rockstar once again moved the date from November 2025 to November 19, 2026, citing the need for more time for polishing.

Note: Based on their historical trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss actions after opening a position.

Account:
0xad96914d7762dac84ebbabafe366ae8ff24dd498.
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