BlockBeats News, June 15th: Following a landmark ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran, the Middle East situation has entered a phase of de-escalation. However, Gulf countries are now reassessing their long-standing reliance on the United States' security commitment.
According to The New York Times, during nearly four months of regional conflict, Iran and its allies launched attacks on multiple countries including Bahrain, Qatar, and the UAE, targeting military and energy infrastructure. This also temporarily disrupted the normal operation of the key shipping lane, the Strait of Hormuz.
Although the conflict has subsided, analysts point out that the U.S.'s performance in defending against Iranian drone and missile attacks, and its inadequate response to the risk of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, has raised new doubts among Gulf countries about the reliability of the U.S. "security umbrella."
Sanam Vakil, Head of the Middle East Department at the Chatham House think tank, stated: "U.S. security guarantees are no longer as reliable as they used to be." Officials from some Gulf countries revealed that governments have begun discussing pathways to reduce their reliance on sole U.S. security, including enhancing defense cooperation with European and Asian countries, while promoting regional military coordination and weapons procurement integration.
Bader al-Saif, a historian at Qatar University, emphasized that Gulf countries possess ample financial resources and technological capabilities, and should expedite the establishment of an independent defense system and strengthen regional joint defense mechanisms to enhance overall security resilience.
Analysts believe that this war may accelerate Gulf countries' diversification in security strategy. While maintaining military cooperation with the U.S., they are gradually expanding a broader international security cooperation network.
