1 new account bought the "U.S.-Iran Nuclear Deal to be Reached by July 31st"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a new account has wagered $11,000 on "Will the US-Iran nuclear deal be reached by July 31st?" predicting "No," with an average buying probability of 67.8%. The current probability of "Yes" is 35.5%.

Reuters reported on the 8th that IAEA Director General Grossi has urged Iran to "re-engage" with the agency to restore inspections of a nuclear facility bombed by the US and Israel a year ago. Iran has not yet explained the status of these facilities or accounted for the whereabouts of its near-weapons-grade enriched uranium stockpile. Reuters stated that communication between the IAEA and Iran has broadly broken down, with only the Bushehr nuclear power plant undergoing inspections since February.

The Guardian's live update today stated that the US responded to the downing of a US Apache helicopter by conducting coordinated airstrikes on the southern coast of Iran, prompting Iranian retaliatory drone and missile strikes on US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard stated that the targets included US assets and an F-35 hangar, and warned of further escalation if the US continues its actions. This marks the most serious escalation since the April ceasefire.

Account:
0xf32ab963b7e42dcd636c3d44a8b559ae04259bf2

Total Wager: $11.0k
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