PolyBeats has uncovered a "Ironclad Insider" and successfully predicted that Claude 5 will be released before June 15th.

According to PolyBeats Monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the PolyBeats channel previously reported that a new account predicted "Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?" as "Yes," and the market has now settled as "Yes." This new account initially bought "Yes" at around a 28.8% probability, realizing a profit of $20k with an $8k cost.

On June 9, Anthropic released an official announcement, introducing the new flagship model Claude Fable 5, claiming it to be the first Mythos-level model open to the public. Fable 5 is now fully available in the Claude API and the usage-based Enterprise Edition, with a free trial available to subscription users until June 22, requiring consumption points after June 23.

On June 2, at 1:00 PM, PolyBeats observed a new account investing $6900 in "Yes" for "Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?" with an average buy probability of 28.8%, causing the probability of "Yes" to rise from 21.0% to 28.8%.

At 11:00 AM on June 9, the PolyBeats Pro channel released a report in Beijing time, monitoring 5 new accounts identified as "high probability insiders" investing $12.7k in "Yes" for "Will Claude Mythos be released by June 15?" when the average buy probability was only 39.0%.

---------------------------------
See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN on Twitter for early insights.