The probability of "Will Iran's Internet access be restored by May 31, 2026?" being "Yes" has increased from 27.1% to 35.6%.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, in the past 10 minutes, the probability of "Will Iran's internet access be restored by May 31, 2026?" has increased from 27.1% to 35.6%.

This market's rules require that by 23:59 UTC on May 31, the majority of the Iranian population, key applications, and general international connectivity show a clear, widespread, unambiguous restoration for at least 24 hours; or the Cloudflare Radar no longer marks Iran as nationally disconnected for at least 24 consecutive hours with no new data becoming available, a significant traffic rebound, and NetBlocks reporting the end of the national disconnection or equivalent.

Reuters reported on May 25 at 13:53 ET that Iranian President Raisi has ordered the reopening of international internet access, as per Iran's state media citing the Ministry of Communication public relations officer; the report mentioned that most Iranians have been without access to the global internet for 87 consecutive days, with only a few managing to circumvent the restrictions through expensive, sophisticated VPNs. Xinhua News Agency reported on May 26 at 04:23 that Tasnim News Agency stated the order has been handed to the Ministry of Information Technology and Communications and has been approved by the government's cyberspace special committee headed by First Vice President Eshagh Jahangiri; the Association of Islamic Students reported that the order will take effect on Tuesday.
---------------------------------
See tomorrow today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN for early insights. Stay ahead with @PolyBeats_Bot