1 Smart Money bet $38,600 on the question "Will Strategy sell all their Bitcoin before May 31, 2026?" and answered "Yes."

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 1 smart dollar has been put into "Will Strategy sell all of its Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?" with $38.6 thousand placed on "Yes," average buying probability at 36.4%, and current "Yes" probability at 29.5%.

Account 0xa6d9b55a has put in $38.6 thousand, and its top relevant category in this market is cryptocurrency, with a net profit of $67.4 thousand. Out of 182 settled transactions in this category, it has a win rate of 167/182 (92%), with 4 transactions where the buy price was below $0.8 and the sell price was above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.301-$0.45), the median historical investment amount is $379, making this investment 101.7 times that median.

Strategy's 8-K filed with the SEC on May 15 states that the company has agreed to repurchase around $1.5 billion of 2029 zero-coupon convertible bonds, with an estimated cash repurchase price of approximately $1.38 billion, mentioning that the funding sources may include cash reserves, proceeds from ATM securities issuance, and proceeds from BTC sales; the transaction is expected to close around May 19.

Strategy's 10-Q filed on May 6 mentions that the company can use cash reserves, sell BTC, issue common or preferred stock through ATM offerings, and obtain additional financing to meet liquidity needs, explicitly stating that even with other liquidity sources available, BTC may be sold when deemed more favorable. The filing also discloses that as of April 26, the company's USD Reserve is approximately $2.25 billion; Strategy disclosed on May 11 that it had purchased 535 BTC from May 4 to May 10, increasing its total holdings to 818,869 BTC.

Note: Based on its past trading behavior, this trader is not speculating on whether the event will actually occur but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior at some point after opening the position.

Account:
0xa6d9b55a6a3a54a9d50ca94c64f00af69c50fd2f.