Suspected Insider Trading Funds Transferred to New Account, $36,800 Purchase of Iranian Airspace Closure by May 24th

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a new account has bet $36.8 thousand on "Will Iran close its airspace by May 24?" with an average buy probability of 31.0%. The current probability of "Yes" is 30.0%.

This account's funds are from bor.eth (0x95b0), and two Polymarket accounts associated with this on-chain address have made predictions on the US striking Iran, US-Iran ceasefire, and Israel-Lebanon ceasefire. In particular, 0xa4eb profited $400 thousand by predicting the US strike on Iran timing and the US-Iran ceasefire timing; 0x5554 bought "Yes" when the probability of "Israel-Lebanon ceasefire by April 15" was only 5%, with an unrealized profit exceeding 16 times the initial investment and has not taken profits yet. Israel announced the ceasefire the next day.

Trace of fund flow in this event:
EVM: bor.eth -> 0xda91 -> Polymarket (0x3915)
SOL: FXJBJK -> 5issUF -> 0xda91 -> Polymarket (0x3915)

It is noteworthy that funds on the SOL chain may have originated from another entity: FXJBJK shares the same OKX deposit address 7epYcJ with the X blogger 0xIT4I.

Account:
0x3915bd94e985d73d634c403ec55f7013ae79faff.