A new account has invested $30.3 thousand believing that the <i>CLARITY Act of 2026</i> will not be signed into law.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a new account has placed a $30.3k bet on "Will the CLARITY Act be signed into law in 2026?" with an average buy-in probability of 39.1%. The current "yes" probability is 64.0%.

The rules require the "CLARITY Act" H.R.3633 to pass both houses of the U.S. Congress and be signed into law by the President within this year. The Congress website currently shows that the bill was passed by the House of Representatives on July 17, 2025, with 294 votes to 134, sent to the Senate Banking Committee on September 18, but has not yet passed the Senate, been sent to the President, or become law. The White House has previously expressed support for the bill's goals and hopes for both houses to quickly reconcile the text for the President's signature.

On May 14 at 22:30 UTC, the Senate Banking Committee formally deliberated on H.R.3633. Fortune magazine reported that committee members have submitted over 130 proposed amendments, with Senator Warren alone submitting 44, focusing on stablecoin yields, decentralized finance, national security, and ethical provisions related to the Trump family's crypto business. The U.S. tech media outlet Verge also reported that the banking industry is intensifying lobbying efforts at the final hour, concerned that stablecoin yield arrangements could siphon off bank deposits.

Account:
0x0d50d8b4407447eadb428fe20e48deaa84d8aec0

Total Investment: $30.3k
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