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Polymarket: Probability of a confirmed Omicron case in the US this week rises to 72%

BlockBeats News, May 11th - The prediction market platform Polymarket's latest data shows that as of May 15th, the probability of a confirmed Hantavirus case in the United States has risen to 72%, with the related market trading volume surpassing $300,000.


According to market rules, as long as any lab-confirmed Hantavirus infection case appears within the United States, it will be deemed a "Yes" outcome, regardless of the infection location or the location where symptoms first appeared, as long as it is within the U.S. The market mainly relies on official information from entities such as the U.S. CDC for settlement, and reports from mainstream media forming an overwhelming consensus can also be used as a reference.


The Hantavirus is mainly transmitted through rodents, and severe cases can lead to Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS). The current market expectation indicates that traders are betting on the possibility of the U.S. announcing new confirmed cases soon.

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