2 accounts each contributed $10.3 thousand, predicting that the <strong>Strategy</strong> will sell Bitcoin before June.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 2 accounts have bet $10.3k on the outcome of "Will MicroStrategy sell any Bitcoin before June?" as "Yes", with an average buying probability of 13.4%. The current probability of "Yes" is 15.5%.

Account 0x71edffd0 has wagered $6.8k, with the top-related category in this market being macroeconomics, with a net profit of $488k. Out of a total of 90 settled transactions in this category, the win rate is 67/90 (74%), with 5 trades where the buying price was below $0.8 and the selling price was above $0.95. Within a similar cost range ($0.051-$0.2), the median historical investment amount is $17, making this current investment 401.8 times the median amount.

During the Q1 2026 Strategy call, Michael Saylor responded to analysts, stating that the company is now in the process of "working this asset of BTC" and mentioned, "We might sell some Bitcoin to pay a dividend, just to inoculate the market, to send a message: we did it, the company's fine, Bitcoin's fine, the industry's fine."

The Strategy management stated, "When it's advantageous to the company, we'll sell Bitcoin; we're not gonna sit there and say we'll never sell Bitcoin." They further explained that by selling high-cost basis Bitcoin, they could realize some unrealized losses and leverage approximately $2.2 billion in potential tax benefits to pay dividends or optimize debt.

Note: Based on their historical trading profile, the trader is not necessarily betting on the outcome but engages in profit-taking and stop-loss behavior.

Accounts:
0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338
0xdc26d7776929e9c84a3d9651e13260dece6f7e7d

Total Wager: $10.3k
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