1 new account has deposited $12,000 to predict “The U.S. will not invade Iran before 2027.”

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the Polymarket prediction market, a new account has placed a $12.0k bet on "Will the US invade Iran by 2027?" choosing "No," with an average buy-in probability of 80.0%. The current probability of "Yes" is 21.5%.

7 days ago, after the US military was attacked by Iranian missiles, drones, and small boats in the Strait of Hormuz, they retaliated by targeting Iranian missile/drone launch sites, command and control nodes, and reconnaissance facilities. However, the US explicitly stated that they are "not seeking escalation," emphasizing that they are only "prepared to protect US forces."

Today, following the US-Iran exchange in the strait, Trump told reporters that the ceasefire is still in effect. The Iranian Foreign Ministry also stated that they are reviewing information from the US through Pakistan regarding ending the war, and they have not yet formally responded to the US.

Account:
0x2eba5e567f6280ea401759986b0de74cf7f60bb7

Total Investment: $12.0k
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