The new account has placed a $9,900 bet on "No" on whether the US and Iran will reach a permanent peace agreement by June.</p>

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a new account has bet $9,900 on "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement by June?" with an average buy-in probability of 71.0%. Currently, the probability of "No" is 23.5%.

Trump rejected Iran's offer of "lifting the US blockade in exchange for reopening the Strait of Hormuz" and insisted on Iran accepting nuclear disarmament first. Trump stated, "Iran is suffocating like a fat pig, and the situation will only get worse for them. They cannot have nuclear weapons."

Meanwhile, US Defense Secretary Hegseth faced nearly six hours of questioning in Congress, with Democrats criticizing the cost of war, authorization issues, and civilian casualties, while some Republicans leaned towards ending the conflict. Today, Brent crude oil continues to rise as the market fears that the ongoing Middle East tensions will lead to a prolonged oil supply disruption.

Account:
0xf18790e02ae2cf99a84ec1da0729c74a0b60a4bc

Total Investment: $9.9k
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