A certain Smart Money invested $13,200, believing that "the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting will not take place before May 11th."

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 1 smart dollar has been bet $13.2k on "Will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting take place before May 11," with the current probability of "Yes" being 60%.

Out of this 1 smart dollar, address 0xa7715a96 has a win rate of 76% in the geopolitical category, with a total profit of $48k.

Former President Trump is not satisfied with Iran's latest end-war proposal because it does not prioritize the Iranian nuclear program as a first-stage issue, instead seeking to postpone the nuclear issue until after the end of the war and resolution of the Gulf shipping dispute. The White House reiterated that they would not "negotiate through the media" and emphasized that the U.S. red lines have not changed.

U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner had planned to travel to Pakistan to engage in diplomatic activities concurrently with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi to facilitate contact. However, this trip was canceled at the last minute, while Pakistan is still attempting to restart the stalled U.S.-Iran negotiations.

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking and stop-loss behaviors after opening a position at a certain point in time.

Account:
0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1

Total Bet: $13.2k
---------------------------------
See tomorrow, today. Follow @PolyBeatsEN to see the future earlier.