1 SmartCoin predicts that Iran will not agree to hand over its enriched uranium stockpile before June 30th.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, half an hour ago, 1 SMART was placed on "Will Iran agree to hand over its enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?" with $3,900 wagered on "No," currently with a 24.5% probability of "Yes."

Previously mentioned on this channel, the probability of "Will Iran agree to hand over its enriched uranium stockpile by May?" has dropped to less than 1%.

The White House had stated on April 8 that Iran had expressed willingness to transfer its enriched uranium stockpile, calling it a core priority in ending the war and preventing Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons. However, Iran has since described such requests as "surrender negotiations" and emphasized that they will not accept U.S. conditions under threat and pressure.

On April 15, Russia proposed receiving Iran's entire enriched uranium stockpile as part of a conflict resolution, a plan rejected by the U.S. On April 17, Trump told Reuters that the U.S. would cooperate with Iran to "retrieve" its enriched uranium and bring it back to the U.S., but he noted that this process would proceed slowly.

The latest development indicates that Iran is trying to shift the focus of negotiations from the nuclear issue to the Strait of Hormuz. On April 27, Axios and the Associated Press reported that Iran had proposed a new plan through a Pakistani intermediary: Iran was willing to end restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz but demanded the U.S. lift its blockade on Iran. At the same time, Iran wanted to postpone nuclear negotiations to a later stage. This proposal did not include direct concessions on Iran's nuclear program.

Note: Based on their historical trading behavior, the trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking and stop-loss actions at a certain point after opening a position.

Account:
0x2e0b70d482e6b389e81dea528be57d825dd48070.