Shooting Incident Causes All "Trump Speech" Related Predictions on Polymarket to Resolve as "No"

BlockBeats News, April 26th. The White House Correspondents' Association dinner was interrupted by a shooting incident, leading to a dramatic turn of events in the Polymarket prediction market on "What word will Trump mention during his speech at the WHCA dinner on April 25th?" All contracts were settled as "No," contrary to the majority of predictions.

The total trading volume for this prediction event was approximately $278,000, involving 32 individual word contracts. The rule stipulated that Trump had to say the word live or in a broadcast at the WHCA dinner for the market to settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it would settle as "No." The rule specifically stated that if the event was formally canceled, or if by 11:59 PM Eastern Time on April 26, 2026, the word had not been spoken, the market would settle as "No."

Although Trump entered the banquet hall that evening, he was evacuated by the Secret Service due to a shooting incident before taking the stage to speak. His planned "very intense" speech was never delivered. The event will be rescheduled within 30 days. As per the market rules, this meant that the majority of contracts with higher "Yes" odds were settled as "No." For example, the probability of "Fake News" dropped from 90% to 0% (settled as "No").