3 Smart Money Accounts Invest $32,800 Believing US and Iran Won't Hold Diplomatic Talks Before May

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, 3 smart money accounts have invested $32.8 thousand in the question "Will the US and Iran hold diplomatic talks before May?", with the current probability of "Yes" at 28%.

Out of these 3 smart money accounts, denizz has a win rate of 68% in the politics category, with a total profit of $945 thousand; 0xa7715a96 has a win rate of 71% in the geopolitics category, with a total profit of $36 thousand; 0x90134a5c has a win rate of 76% in the Iran category, with a total profit of $16 thousand.

The Gulf market is down as negotiations mediated by Pakistan have "stalled" due to blockade issues, with the Iranian President stating that US sanctions and threats are the "main obstacle" to the talks. With no peaceful negotiations in sight, the situation in the Hormuz Strait is escalating, as Iran insists it will not participate until the US lifts its blockade on its ports and ships; meanwhile, the White House maintains it will not participate until Iran restores international navigation in the strait.

NOTE: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss practices after opening positions at a certain point in time.

Accounts:
0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73;
0xa7715a969f35fea826258fc7b7ce4c95fdf642d1;
0x90134a5c61876dc0f35b72eed743605daae5fc71.