According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, 3 whales have invested $31,900 in the question "Will the US and Iran hold diplomatic talks before May?" with the current probability of "Yes" at 46%.
Among these 3 whales, 0xbb8e6477 has a win rate of 64% in the Politics category, with a total profit of $210,000; 0x0eaa43c6 has a 100% win rate in the Iran Ceasefire category, with a total profit of $182,000; 0xdf17f4a8 has a win rate of 64% in the Politics category, with a total profit of $81,000.
The Iran-US negotiations are currently at a standstill with "no signs of initiation." U.S. Vice President Pence was set to travel to Pakistan, but the trip was canceled, and the next round of talks has been postponed. Trump has stated that the U.S. will continue the ceasefire until discussing a proposal presented by Iran in the peace negotiations.
This week, the Turkish Foreign Minister will visit London to hold crucial discussions on the Iran war and the Ukraine issue. Turkey maintains diplomatic contacts with Tehran, Washington, and mediator Pakistan, reaffirming its willingness to support relevant peace processes.
Disclaimer: Based on their historical trading behavior, it is assessed that these traders are not necessarily betting on the outcome of the event, and may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss actions at a certain point after opening a position.
Accounts:
0xbb8e6477bcb4d0a79449507c607d36fd228fb243;
0x0eaa43c627cd482acb6866a03fe1138495e0c521;
0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1.
