According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 3 whales have bet $96.2k on "Will Trump agree to Iran uranium enrichment by April?", with the current probability of "Yes" at 38%.
Among these 3 accounts, 0x33559240 has an 87% win rate in the geopolitical category, with a total profit of $33k; armageddonrewardsbilly has a 50% win rate in the political category, with a total profit of $520k; 0x67327ef4 has a 66% win rate in the geopolitical category, with a total profit of $179k.
On the 16th, Trump told reporters on the White House lawn that Iran has "pretty much agreed to everything" and claimed without evidence that Iran has agreed to hand over buried uranium. Meanwhile, Trump is pushing for an agreement that would have Tehran "abandon its nuclear project."
Today, Trump once again emphasized to the media that the war with Iran "should end very soon" and reiterated that the reason for U.S. action remains "we can't let them have nuclear weapons."
Disclaimer: Based on their past trading behavior, the trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event and may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss actions after opening positions at a certain time.
Accounts:
0x335592400e402c26583ce8b56d12605e9548a126
0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418
0x67327ef4880d4050ead195ca23203c61d8c1d7f0
Total Investment: $96.2k
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