4 smart contract accounts collectively invested $31,000 believing that the US and Iran will reach a permanent peace agreement by June.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 4 accounts have placed a total of $31,000 on "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before the end of June?", with the current probability of "Yes" being 56%.

Among these 4 accounts, MisTKy has a win rate of 71% in the politics category, with a total profit of $137,000; armageddonrewardsbilly has a win rate of 50% in the politics category, with a total profit of $520,000; Parz1vaI has a win rate of 75% in the politics category, with a total profit of $130,000; eightpenguins has a win rate of 74% in the politics category, with a total profit of $101,000.

Despite significant differences between the US and Iran on key issues such as the Iranian nuclear issue, hopes for a "comprehensive peace agreement" have cooled. Negotiators are currently pushing for a temporary agreement to prevent a resumption of hostilities. Trump publicly stated today that the war "should end soon," describing the current situation as progressing "very smoothly." Trump also mentioned that the US and Iran may reach a "permanent ceasefire," and talks between Washington and Tehran could resume in the coming days.

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, it is assessed that these traders are not betting on whether the event will actually occur. They may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior after opening a position at a certain point in time.

Accounts:
0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b;
0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418;
0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461;
0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766.