Three Smart Money Accounts Invest $8,300, Predicting "US-Iran Permanent Peace Agreement by May"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 3 smart money accounts have collectively wagered $8,300 on the question "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before May?" with the current probability of "Yes" at 39%.

Among these 3 accounts, mr.ozi has a win rate of 63% in the politics category, with a total profit of $222,000; Mr-Krabs has a win rate of 81% in the geopolitics category, with a total profit of $72,000; 0x6d9fc316 has a win rate of 61% in the politics category, with a total profit of $236,000.

On the 16th, White House spokesperson Levitt said in a press conference, "We feel good about the prospect of reaching an agreement," and described the contacts facilitated by Pakistan as "productive and ongoing." The market and various parties are growing more optimistic about the "possible end to the Middle East conflict," partly due to the key Pakistani mediator being active in Tehran, while the Trump administration continues to hint at a potential agreement.

NOTE: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event but may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior after opening a position at a certain point.

Accounts:
0x614dc8d3542c12103d2c6a3553fd761e391d1546
0x8597ca63e722d6216bfc3057591fdc67ec49daee
0x6d9fc316c3b8377060a44b852ba664adbfd59790

Total Wager: $8.3k
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