<strong>Smart Money Account 3</strong> invested $104,000 to predict "Hormuz Strait Traffic to Normalize Before May"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 3 accounts have collectively wagered $104.0k on the question "Will traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by May?", with the current probability of "Yes" at 26%.

Among these 3 accounts, betwick has a 64% win rate in the geopolitical category, with a total profit of $358k; wan123 has an 82% win rate in the geopolitical category, with a total profit of $454k; idfinsider0228 has a 58% win rate in the geopolitical category, with a total profit of $124k.

On the 15th, Iran proposed a plan: to allow ships to freely navigate the Oman-side channel of the Strait of Hormuz and be "not at risk of Iranian attacks", provided the U.S. meets certain conditions. This proposal is notably different from Iran's previous more aggressive stances, such as imposing tolls or asserting sovereignty over the strait as international waters.

On the same day, an oil tanker flying the Maltese flag successfully passed through the Strait of Hormuz into the Persian Gulf on its second attempt, becoming the first crude oil tanker to sail westward and complete this passage after the U.S. imposed a blockade on Iranian ports.

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event and may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss practices after opening a position at a certain point in time.

Accounts:
0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2a
0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b
0x2b76c1d12cd928b1d95a6d2c7f1e6f6e7f14edef

Total Wagered: $104.0k
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