3 Smart Money Account invested $78,900, believing that "The United States will not invade Iran before 2027"

According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 3 Wise Guys accounts have wagered $78.9k on "Will the US invade Iran before 2027?" with the current probability of "Yes" at 30%.

Among these 3 accounts, MisTKy has a 71% win rate in the Politics category, with a total profit of $132k; 0x56ebe2a8 has a 60% win rate in the Iran category, with a total profit of $60k; 0x1cc16713 has a 69% win rate in the World Macro category, with a total profit of $93k.

In the initial phase of the blockade implementation, the US military forced 6 vessels attempting to leave an Iranian port to turn back, deploying 10k US troops, over a dozen warships, fighter jets, and drones. However, US vessels "do not linger near Iranian ports, nor do they carry out interceptions in the Strait of Hormuz"; oil prices continued to fall today, with the recent main theme in financial market trading being "the war may end soon," rather than a potential escalation of the situation.

Note: Based on their past trading behavior, this trader is not necessarily betting on whether the event will actually occur, as they may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss strategies at a certain point after opening a position.

Accounts:
0x35bbbad2415fe5e39b12da9a316cdc80b022009b
0x56ebe2a8eb1b9bccfd3059f981f9c987e45e076a
0x1cc16713196d456f86fa9c7387dd326a7f73b8df

Total Wagered: $78.9k
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