「BTC OG Insider Whale」 Agent: Ceasefire Making Us Even More Bearish, Unprecedented Precedent of Two-Week Resolution to the Conflict

BlockBeats News, April 12th, "BTC OG Insider Whale" agent Garrett Jin posted, saying that a ceasefire is a sugar-coated poison. Why does a ceasefire make us more bearish rather than more optimistic? The market is trading on such a logic: a brief ceasefire will evolve into lasting peace. But we believe that the probability of this is less than 10%. The reason is that Iran's conditions are incompatible with the US demands, no ceasefire terms were implemented within 24 hours, and historically, conflicts of this scale have never been resolved by a two-week pause. The actual probability may be lower than 10%.