2 Smart Money Addresses Bet $119,000 That Russia-Ukraine Will Not See a Ceasefire Before 2027

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, two intelligent money accounts have placed a $119,000 bet on "no" for "Will there be a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by 2027," with the current probability of "yes" at 32%.

Zelensky mentioned today that Ukraine will face months of diplomatic and military pressure ahead, making both spring and summer difficult. This year's three rounds of trilateral talks have "not made substantive progress," with Ukraine still refusing Russia's demand to relinquish control of the remaining Donbas area.

Moscow is continually investing significant funds in the occupied territories, deeply integrating their transportation, trade, and infrastructure into Russia, objectively diminishing the likelihood of "returning the land in the future."

Previous ceasefire attempts have had "little to no effect," and U.S.-led negotiations have made no progress on key issues. Washington's attention has been diverted to the Middle East, while the 1,250 km front line in eastern and southern Ukraine remains in intense combat.

Note: Based on their past transaction profile, it is inferred that this trader is not betting on whether the event will actually occur; there is a possibility of taking profit or stop-loss actions at a certain point after opening a position.

Accounts:
0xfd22b8843ae03a33a8a4c5e39ef1e5ff33ebad91;
0x07a6bcc9126f453336a26aaa0cc488ec922a2e31.