According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the Polymarket prediction market, 1 account has placed a $40k bet on whether 「MegaETH will launch before July?」, with the current probability of 「yes」 being 74%.
The MegaETH team has explicitly adopted a 「mainnet decoupling from token」 strategy, where the TGE is determined by three independent KPIs, and as long as any one of them is met, the countdown of 7 days will start for issuing the MEGA token:
KPI 1 (MegaUSD / USDM stablecoin): Weighted circulating supply reaches $5 billion within 30 days (or part of it is supplemented by 25% deposited in the validation app smart contract);
KPI 2 (App Activity): At least 10 active 「Mega Mafia」 apps (validated contracts, with core functionality and frontend), achieving a total of 100k transactions with coverage of at least 25k unique wallets;
KPI 3 (App Revenue): At least 3 native apps achieve daily fees of over $50k for 30 consecutive days.
The mainnet has been running smoothly for two months, and the development team has publicly stated their refusal to pay any listing fees, liquidity incentives, or promotional airdrops to any CEX/DEX.
Account:
0x39ddf7c23d7f1d6537fef553734187109fde0b7b
Total Investment: $40.0k
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