According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, a new address has invested $40,000 to buy “Yes” in “Will the US and Iran agree to a ceasefire by April 15”, currently having an 11% probability of “Yes”.
Today, Trump signaled willingness to consider a ceasefire, with the condition that the Strait of Hormuz must be reopened and maritime security ensured. Vice President Pence relayed through backchannels that Trump is open to negotiations, with Iran’s proposed terms including compensation, US troop withdrawal from Middle Eastern bases, and refraining from future attacks.
Address:
0xffa6b3c90514d7b861c87d7e51cc35fff34530fe
Total Investment: $40k
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