View: Bitcoin Set to Enter Final Accumulation Phase of This Cycle, Maximum Drawdown Could Exceed 40%

BlockBeats News, April 2nd, according to analyst Alicharts, Bitcoin has dropped 52% from its peak in October 2025, with a 3-day SMA cross signal appearing on February 27th (death cross of the 50-period and 200-period SMA). The signal has now been ongoing for 30 days, and historical patterns suggest a final accumulation window within 3-6 days or in this cycle.

Alicharts points out that historical records show that in every major cycle since 2014, the 50 and 200 SMA cross has marked an absolute bottom and a golden buying opportunity. Past cycles have shown that after the cross, a final drop of 40-52% occurs within 23-33 days, completing the bear market shakeout. The potential shakeout target for this cycle is between $30,000 and $40,000, after which the next bull market will begin.