According to PolyBeats monitoring, three smart money accounts have collectively invested $491k on the Polymarket prediction market, buying "Yes" in the "Will the US invade Iran before May" event, with the current probability of "Yes" being 56%.
Today, Trump stated that the US military's offensive against Iran may end in two to three weeks; however, Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif, while acknowledging receiving information from US envoy Votkov, denied the existence of ongoing negotiations and explicitly stated that Iran is prepared for a potential "ground conflict."
Note: Based on their trading history, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event, as they may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior after opening a position at a certain point.
Accounts:
0x0a854897a06d4999e5b2dde5693609f1428ffe9d
0xcf6a714618a328c608a1c70cb62a31a6bef3f9d0
0xb1a279adb096d316b1b168993e8ed976d3cd372a
Total Investment: $491k
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