According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, a smart money account has entered a $15.6k position betting "Yes" on "Will there be a ceasefire between the US and Iran before May," with the current probability of "Yes" standing at 32%.
The Foreign Minister of Pakistan publicly stated that both the US and Iran have expressed trust in Pakistan's mediation, with Islamabad willing to host "meaningful talks" in the coming days; Trump stated that Iran has "given" much of what the US asked for in the 15-point ceasefire proposal, but it is still unclear whether substantial negotiations have actually begun.
Note: Based on their historical trading patterns, this trader is not necessarily betting on the actual outcome of the event, and may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior after opening a position at a certain point in time.
Account:
0xd46be610a32e5c6ee094977e3caf9ab89c525dab
Total Investment: $15.6k
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