According to PolyBeats monitoring, two new addresses have invested $13,000 in the "Will the US invade Iran before May" market on the prediction platform Polymarket, buying "Yes". The current probability of this event being "Yes" is 59%.
On the 25th, an Iranian military spokesperson mocked the US through official media, saying the US is "negotiating with itself" and denying the ceasefire communication claimed by the US; White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt stated that if Tehran does not accept that it has "been defeated militarily," Trump will "strike Iran more severely".
Addresses:
0xc46d4c5abe09aba4a19328a008fa774f7c56a968;
0x3c3c54b7ed26c639f6a96a0c668c0158706e70ca.
