BlockBeats News, March 26th. Recently, the United States has been sending continuous signals of willingness to negotiate with Iran, but at the same time has been repeatedly thwarted by Iran. Trump administration officials stated that the White House is actively working to arrange a meeting in Pakistan this weekend to discuss ways to resolve the Iran crisis, and Vice President Pence may travel to Pakistan this weekend to participate in talks with Iran. The United States also insists that it has not received any signals of Iran's refusal to negotiate.
At the same time, Iran has taken a tough stance, stating that a ceasefire and negotiations are not viable at the current stage, and has presented five major conditions for a ceasefire: complete cessation of aggression and assassination, ensuring that war will not be imposed on Iran again, war reparations, cessation of all fronts and all resistance organizations involved in the war, and acknowledgment of Iran's sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has also sternly warned that if support for Iran's enemies leads to the occupation of Iranian islands, Iran may open a new front in the Strait of Mandeb.
According to PolyBeats monitoring, the current probability of a ceasefire between the US and Iran this month on the prediction market Polymarket is 14%, and the probability of a ceasefire by the end of next month is 50%.
