According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, 2 new addresses have entered with $89.6k in "Will the US military enter Iran before April" betting on "Yes", and the current probability of "Yes" is 20%.
Last week, the US decided to redeploy three amphibious assault ships and about 2,500 additional Navy marines to the Middle East, with another group of about 2,500 Navy marines already diverted from the Pacific to the Middle East. Trump, in multiple public statements on March 17, 19, 20, etc., repeatedly emphasized "I will not put troops in any place," but at the same time stated "if necessary, I will send," and reiterated "keep all options open" multiple times, without prior notice to the outside world.
Today, Trump said the US had contact with a "respected" Iranian leader and postponed the original threat to Iranian power facilities for five days, but also stated that the extension depends on the results of the talks, and the threat target is still Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure.
Accounts:
0xa41e7f2866a8a2afda511d89468cda85ad9430f9
0xb41b12af1a3b4e1b021794dc24d5fef1c84f0d99
Total Investment: $63.6k
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