According to PolyBeats monitoring, on the Polymarket prediction market, three accounts with high accuracy in predicting Iran and Trump events have collectively invested $89,000 in "Will the US military enter Iran before May" buying "Yes," currently the event has a 61% "Yes" probability.
On the 22nd, when asked about his plans for Harak Island, Trump refused to give a clear answer, only saying he "might have plans, or might not," and on the 23rd, Brad Cooper, Commander of US Central Command, in an interview with Iranian TV, stated that military action against Iran would be "pre-positioned or on time."
Note: Based on their past trading profile, this trader is not betting on whether the event actually occurs, and there is a behavior of taking profit or stop-loss at a certain point after opening a position.
Accounts:
0x848921be10e51b1547d50548a54b38a1778ec184;
0xd576b9ee74c58fcb913675fd9c1d14c85312d5e3;
0x8c80d213c0cbad777d06ee3f58f6ca4bc03102c3.
