Iran Threat to Completely Close Strait of Hormuz Reduces Probability of Navigation Resumption Before April to Only 31%

BlockBeats News, March 22, Iran's Revolutionary Guard: If U.S. President Trump fulfills his threat to strike Iran's energy facilities, the Strait of Hormuz will be completely closed.

U.S. President Trump tweeted on the 21st on social media that if Iran does not unconditionally and without any threats reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, the United States will strike and destroy all of its power plants.

Iranian Islamic Parliament Speaker Kalibaf stated on the 22nd that once Iran's power plants and other infrastructure become targets, all energy and oil facilities in the entire Middle East region will be considered legitimate targets and face irreversible destruction, leading to a long-term increase in oil prices.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, the current probability of "the Strait of Hormuz reopening by April" is 31%, a significant decrease from 77% on March 10.